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Good evening. It's Friday, January 26.
Tonight: two political figures in Washington have been united in a desperate effort to obtain another $60 million in American resources for Ukraine. Those two figures are the Democratic president, Joe Biden, and Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. The two of them have been the most fanatical supporters of Ukraine from the start and yet have now encountered a very serious problem in getting Ukraine the tens of billions more that they want, namely, Trump and his Republican House supporters—along with increasing numbers of American citizens—are vehemently opposed to sending further aid to Ukraine.
Republicans seemed willing at first to provide that money in exchange for meaningful concessions from the Biden White House to fortify border security—that was supposed to be the deal: you give us meaningful border security measures of the kind that you were calling fascist two years ago and, in exchange, we'll give you money for Ukraine. However, now it seems that such a deal cannot be reached, seriously jeopardizing Biden and McConnell's push for more Ukraine aid.
There are some really fascinating and revealing dynamics at play here. As we said before, we have watched politics extremely closely for the last two decades, and rarely, if ever, does the military-industrial complex not get what it wants. We'll see whether or not that's the case here, but we will review all the dynamics at play.
Then: the core overarching premise of the Democratic Party and its allies in the corporate media is that nothing is more vital than defeating Donald Trump in the 2024 election. After all, they say his victory poses a grave and existential threat to American democracy in all things decent. If you really believe that, you would do everything and anything to ensure that you maximize the chances that you will win and he will lose. And yet, poll after poll has revealed that, on top of all of the other unavoidable serious vulnerabilities that Joe Biden has in his reelection bid—from perceptions that he's far too old and affirmed to complete a second term to widespread dissatisfaction with his management of the economy, inflation and the border crisis—one of Biden's most important policies is now producing a very serious risk of infuriating and permanently alienating his base voters to the point that they are vowing, I think with increasing credibility, that they will simply never vote for him, no matter how much they are convinced to fear a second term of Donald Trump.
The policy that has enraged many of Biden's key voting constituencies is his steadfast, unlimited and ongoing support for Israel, both generally and in its destruction of Gaza. Extraordinarily high percentages of young voters, liberal voters, and Arab and Muslim voters believe not merely that Biden's career-long defense of Israel is wrong, but that it now constitutes support for genocide. And once someone believes that about an incumbent president—not that they have bad policies or even immoral policies, but that they are guilty of enabling and arming and protecting a genocide—it is going to be very difficult to convince those same people to go and vote for the very same person they have spent months now accusing of genocide. Biden officials are now finally recognizing the seriousness of this political danger to their reelection bid. The question is whether it is too late.
On some level, one might say there's something admirable about all of this, namely that—and I know a lot of people don't accept this—but Joe Biden has indeed been one of Israel's most ardent and steadfast defenders of Israel for his entire adult career, for so long that he seems genuinely willing to follow through on his convictions about the importance of arming Israel and financing Israel's wars, even if it risks costing him votes that he desperately needs for his reelection. In the age of Donald Trump, the one thing Democrats have been able to count on is the blind and unstinting loyalty of all types of Democratic voters to, at least at the last minute, fall into line behind the Democratic Party in the name of stopping Trump.
The question here, though, is whether Biden's extreme and ongoing support for Israel and its financing and arming of its war in Gaza is really something that could risk permanently alienating his core voting base and causing at least enough of them to stay at home to cause Biden to lose critical swing states, without which he cannot win the 2024 election. It is a definite possibility, and we will take a look at that.
Finally, Ofer Cassif is, at least for now, an elected member of the Israeli Knesset. He was on our show just a couple of weeks after the October 7 Hamas attack on his country, which he vehemently denounced. But he also warned at the time that Israel was preparing to unleash a level of destruction and violence against Gaza and its civilian life that would be virtually unparalleled in modern warfare and would be, in his view, morally grotesque and criminal.
In that interview that he did with us back in October, he also issued very grave warnings about the rapid erosion of core civil liberties in Israel with critics of Netanyahu and his war, such as Cassif himself, facing various types of reprisals and threats. Three months later, we sat down with him for an interview that we recorded just yesterday to explore how the war has progressed; the serious threats he now faces to be removed from his elected position in the Knesset as a result of his support for South Africa's charge of genocide against Israel; what the perception is in Israel of Joe Biden’s support for the Israeli war effort and much more. Whatever you think of him, he is an extremely thoughtful, smart and insightful analyst of his country's politics. As a prelude to that interview, we will fill you in on some of the latest developments in this war, including a preliminary decision issued yesterday by the International Court of Justice on the case brought by South Africa, as well as a truly harrowing video that shows the murder of Palestinian civilians in front of a British news crew. That underscores exactly what the U.S. has been supporting in Gaza.
As always, we're very well aware that there are very differing views among our audience about this war. But given that this is now as much of an American war as it is an Israeli war, the U.S. is not only financing and arming the war but paying an increasingly higher price for it, including the inability to have its ships be able to pass safely through the Red Sea. We regard it as a journalistic duty and a journalistic value to continue to present views and facts that are not readily available elsewhere so that you, the viewer, can make up your mind about how you feel about the U.S. financing and supporting this war, a war that has not only already escalated in the Middle East but that really has no end in sight.
For now, welcome to a new episode of System Update, starting right now.