Glenn Greenwald
Politics • Culture • Writing
Interview with Russia/Ukraine Expert Prof. Ivan Katchanovski on Ukraine’s Growing Problems
Video Transcript
June 05, 2024
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NOTE: Due to technical difficulties, this transcribed interview was released later than 24 hours after airing. Thank you for your understanding! 


The Interview: Prof. Ivan Katchanovski


As I said at the top of the show, professor Katchanovski has been one of the most reliable sources for news and analysis since the start of the war in Ukraine. A scholar in Russian studies and in that region, he now teaches at the School of Political Studies and Conflict Studies in the Human Rights Program at the University of Ottawa. He's been a visiting scholar at the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies at Harvard. He has written books on post-Soviet Ukraine and has been cited as an expert on the conflicts in that region and Ukraine in media outlets throughout the world. He was also the person who essentially broke the story that you probably remember that the Ukrainian Canadian man, who was honored and cheered by the Canadian parliament led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau with President Zelenskyy at his side, was a Nazi SS soldier during World War II, something that was not just embarrassing, but highlighted the optic gnawed problem of the presence of neo-Nazi factions in Ukraine. As I said, I've been informed about this war by him as much as anyone else, and we are thrilled to welcome him tonight for his debut appearance on System Update to discuss the latest defeats and problems for Ukraine and the West, the serious and growing challenges of Ukrainian recruitment and where this war is and will likely go. 

 

G. Greenwald: Professor, thank you so much for joining us. It is great to talk to you. I've been following your work for a long time and I'm glad to finally speak with you. 

 

Prof. Katchanovski: Thank you for the invitation. It's a pleasure to be on your show, which is very important and a great source of information about different issues, in particular about the war in Ukraine. 

 

G. Greenwald: Absolutely. I couldn't agree more. And I want us to start before we get into the substance because there are so many people who seem to have become overnight experts in this region, whereas it seems to me like a lot of them couldn't have placed Ukraine on the map before this conflict who pontificate on all sorts of things. Can you talk about the basis of your studies and interests in and expertise about Ukraine and this region? 

 

Prof. Katchanovski: Yes. I’m originally from Ukraine, from the western part of Ukraine. I studied Ukrainian politics since I did my dissertation in the United States at George Mason University on regional political divisions in politics in Ukraine and Moldova, and I have specialized in politics in Ukraine since that time. For a very long time, I researched the conflicts in Ukraine because I view this as a very important issue, not only to Ukraine but also to other countries. And now I think we witness such a development, in terms of war in Ukraine, which has an effect not only on Ukraine but also on many other countries, including the United States, because this war [has] now become a proxy war between Russia and the West in Ukraine, in addition to being the war between Russia and Ukraine. 

I also published four books based on my research and 20 peer-reviewed journal articles. Just today I finished another book manuscript, a manuscript on the Maidan massacre in Ukraine, which I submitted to a major Western Academic Press for publication. So, I specialized in assessing Ukrainian politics and specifically, on conflicts in Ukraine for a very long time. And I do this not relying on the media because – I think this is a very important distinction – because if people just view the Ukraine war via The New York Times coverage or NPR or any other Western major media, they will have a very biased perspective and very one-sided view of Ukraine and the war in Ukraine. And I think it's very important to rely on many sources, on Ukrainian sources. And I published some of them in the media, on my social media and Twitter. And I said this, each day I view hundreds and hundreds of videos. I read different sources in Ukrainian and Russian, which is another major language in Ukraine, so I think this is very important, to have perspective and to hear some kind of Ukrainian voices, which are very limited in terms of their representation in the Western media. And I can say that just there are few political scientists in the world who are actually able to do such research because very few of us have, you know, Ukrainian language and Russian language, which are required for such research. I think this is a very important issue to research. I think the media in this regard is not a very good source of information, to say it mildly. I also researched, Western media coverage of Ukraine before this conflict started, and I think this is a very important issue and perspective, which is often lacking, by the media, in particular, concerning Ukraine, not only Ukraine, but also other countries as well. 

 

G. Greenwald: Congratulations on the completion of that manuscript. I think it's so interesting because social media in general, Twitter in particular, is often maligned as a place where misinformation is spread. At the same time, I think one of the most important benefits of it, is that it enables people like yourself with real expertise, who would not be given access to a lot of mainstream places in Western media to find an audience, to be heard, and to challenge a lot of the orthodoxies. It's one of the ways that I discovered your work, and it kind of shows just how important it is for people like you to be willing to use those platforms to be heard. 

Let me ask you about the war itself because talking about Western media and this kind of closed information system and said the New York Times and NBC News, for the first year of the war, it was forbidden to suggest that Ukraine would have difficulty in this war against Russia. Some early successes surprised people that the Ukrainians had against the Russian military but now, sort of two and a half years into the war, even the Western press that would never have allowed this kind of claim two years ago is really admitting that essentially the Russians are winning the war, that they're advancing rapidly, the Ukrainians haven't been able to gain any control, any territory, that their front line is increasingly fragile and endangered. What do you make of where the war is and where it's likely to go? Just in terms of the battlefield. 

 

Prof. Katchanovski: I think it was very clear from the start of this war that Ukraine has no real chance of defeating Russia, and this has not changed since, any events that took place in Ukraine, including Russia's withdrawal from the Kyiv area, again, in March and April of 2022, after this peace agreement was very close to being signed by Ukraine and Russia to end this war. But this peace agreement was blocked by the Western countries and those leader such as Boris Johnson and the Biden. And I think this was the main reason for Russia to withdrawal their forces from the Kiev area. I watched these battles taking place in the Kiev area on social media via different Telegram channels. There were many videos. Originally, I also studied in Kyiv, at my university, before I came to the United States. So, in this case, I think it was very clear that this was not a military defeat of Russia. So, the Russians just basically – even though they had very significant resistance from Ukrainian forces – decided to withdraw from the Kiev area because of this peace agreement, which was very close to being signed. And I think a lot of media just use this withdrawal of Russian forces, as evidence that Ukraine was defeating Russia, that Ukraine is winning this war, even when this wasn’t the case. And the same thing happened with Avdiivka withdrawals of Russian forces and the UK was able to take back territory which was defended by Russian forces in the Kharkiv area. And now Russia basically launched a new offensive in this region and was able to capture some parts of the Ukrainian territory in the Kharkiv region. But it was very clear, and from the start of this war, I pointed to this on Twitter, in academic studies, and also in my media interviews that Ukraine has close to zero chance to defeat Russia. It was clear that Zelenskyy and his partners in the United States, the Biden administration, basically gambled against all the odds of defeating Russia even so, there was no real possibility. And I regard this as a major folly, as a major mistake. I think this was a mistake for many people but I think this is kind of a villainy. They wanted specifically to use Ukraine as a tool to defeat Russia – not to defeat, but actually to weaken Russia, as a current head of the Pentagon stated in the spring of 2022. So, they did not believe that Russia could be defeated, but they presented this as propaganda that this can be achieved in order to justify such a policy, which I think has a damaging effect on Ukraine. And based on my research, I think this is just a misinformation issue – not social media – actually politicians and governments and also mainstream media, which are major sources of misinformation because they have vested interests to misrepresent, for their political interests or their business interests or personal interests. What's going on – and I think in this case, academic research is very important, I tell you, just to present the picture, which is, based on evidence and the facts and not on the kind of political, wishful thinking or any kind of political biases. 

 

G. Greenwald: I want to get a little bit more into the motives of the West and NATO concerning this war. But before we get to that, one of the tactics that the Western media, and especially the American media, has used for a long time to sell wars is that they will make claims about what the people in that country believe or want by handpicking a certain group of people who represent not necessarily the views of the whole country, but the views that the West wants to hear. This was a famous and well-used tactic before the war in Iraq. We heard from all these Iraqi exiles who hadn't lived in Iraq for 40 years, who were presented as speaking for the Iraqi people who said Iraqis hated Saddam Hussein and they wanted the West to come in and overthrow them and be welcomed as liberators. The same thing in Libya and Syria, it's a sort of tactic that's done all the time. And one of the things that have happened since the beginning of this war is that we're constantly being told how much Ukrainians love their central government in Kiev, how much they support Zelenskyy, how much they hate Russia and the Russian invasion, because we basically only hear from people in the parts of Ukraine that are anti-Russian, in Kiev and the western provinces, and we basically never from Ukrainians who live in, certainly, in Crimea or in the eastern provinces, who have a different view. Can you talk about the difference in perspective, identity, and history between these two parts of Ukraine? 

 

Prof. Katchanovski: Yes. I published a book on this very topic based on my doctoral dissertation, at George Mason University, in the U.S., and I can say that Ukraine was a divided country, between the eastern part and the southern part of Ukraine, which was Russian. And because they used to be part of Russia for a very long time, for centuries, while western Ukraine and to a lesser extent, central, you have a different history. Western Ukraine was, for a long time, part of Poland or the Austro-Hungarian Empire. After World War I, it became a part of Romania and Czechoslovakia, and only as a result of World War II western Ukraine was incorporated into Soviet Ukraine under Joseph Stalin. So, in this regard, it was a very divided country because people in western Ukraine were very pro-Western but also pro-nationalist, and they were also very anti-Russian, in contrast with people in eastern and southern Ukraine. But, it's also very important to understand that pro-Russians who lived in eastern and central Ukraine did not necessarily support the invasion of Ukraine or a desire basically to be part of Russia. According to my research – and according to a variety of public opinion polls – the only two regions, Crimea and Donbas have a majority support for seceding from Ukraine and joining Russia. These two regions, including the ethnic Russians, who were the majority of the population in Crimea, and also a cluster of 50% of the population of Donbas support the current war by Russia in Ukraine. You can say also support the cession of the regions or joining Russia. While people in the West of Ukraine also to a large extent, in central Ukraine and Kiev city in particular, support joining the European Union and NATO. 

So, there was such a very significant divide and this divide was manifested in all elections since Ukraine became independent, in 1991, but public opinion polls also show a similar divide because, the majority of people in the West said they wanted to join the European Union, they wanted to join NATO. But the people in eastern Ukraine and southern Ukraine were against this. And now a lot of – again, the media now uses public opinion polls to say what people actually in Ukraine think about the war or peace agreements, they say that people in Ukraine are actually against a peace deal with Russia to end this war. But now, public opinion polls are not reliable because Ukraine now become even less democratic [than] it used to be before the war, basically, it's not a democracy anymore. There is no free press, there is no possibility to express political opinions freely because of the passive policies of Zelenskyy’s government. So only people actually able to express opinion in Ukraine now are people who support Zelenskyy’s government and people who have different views, actually are not able to do this. Many of them are even in prison, if they criticize, or say something, which goes against the current policies. So, in this case, I think, the voices that are present in the Western media of Ukrainians who support this war, the continuation of this war, and claim that they support Zelenskyy’s government, and his policies, actually are often not representative of all Ukrainians in Ukraine. They are very biased. And a lot of people who speak very good English, again, are interviewed very often in the media as talking on behalf of all Ukrainians, but actually they're not talking about all Ukrainians. They often talk about themselves or their narrow elite views, or often just people from western Ukraine and Central Ukraine also, to a significant extent. They are giving only limited or very insignificant media coverage, while people who have different views, including myself – I'm originally from western Ukraine and I supported, again, from the start, I supported joining European Union membership for Ukraine. But it's very difficult to get my views expressed in the media, Western media in the United States, actually, now, since the Russian invasion – even if I gave a few thousand media interviews in different media of more than 80 countries of the world – basically all mainstream media in the United States, now, basically did not ask me for any interview, since the start of the Russian invasion. And I think this is just a manifestation of the problem, because the kind of representations that people are giving in the media, including also very prominent media like the New York Times, are often biased and not representative of the views of Ukrainians. It’s very important because, if you look into a variety of public opinion polls – they are often cited by the media as evidence of the main view of Ukrainians – but public opinion polls now are not reliable because people are not able to express how they feel. I do not use public opinion polls. I look into the behavior of people because what people actually do is a much bigger kind of manifestation of their actual views compared to what they say, especially if they feel pressured to say what actually would be regarded as politically acceptable, which often people do now in Ukraine. 

 

G. Greenwald: So one of the ways that we can see some dissent, I guess you can call it, from the war policies of Ukraine, is something you've been reporting on and discussing a lot of and showing videos, a lot of, which is the growing number of Ukrainian men who are physically resisting, not just hiding, but when they're found, physically resisting the Ukrainian military recruiters who are trying to take them and force them to enlist in the military and then fight in the front line. There was a BBC report from a month ago or so that said, since the start of the war, something like 650,000 Ukrainian men have left the country, have fled the country, have found a way out of the country, presumably to avoid the war. Do you think that this trend that you're showing is a growing trend among Ukrainian men resisting being drafted? And if so, why is that growing? Video 1. Video 2. Video 3. (Forced Conscription in Ukraine.)

 

Prof. Katchanovski: Yes. These are exactly the videos that you just saw were from different regions of Ukraine. One of them was filmed in the native region of Dnipro [center of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast] near southern Ukraine or eastern Ukraine, which is Zelenskyy’s native region. The other video was from Kiev city and another video was actually from the Rivne region in western Ukraine, which is a very anti-Russian region. And in all these regions, basically in all these different locations of Ukraine, people try to escape and evade [drafting] specifically because they are caught by police or by military recruiters on the street, then they are sent to a front line with a very insignificant amount of training and without any skills, and many people get killed. So, I looked into such evidence. I analyzed this video on social media. I watch hundreds of videos each day, and I only post a very limited amount of the videos because this is enough – that's what I find, this part of my research – just representative videos I put it essentially, which received also a lot of attention. 

But I can say that the number of such videos has increased very significantly since the new mobilization law was announced by Zelenskyy, two weeks ago. They show that there is very significant resistance to forced mobilization to continue this war by people not only in eastern and southern Ukraine but also people in western Ukraine and the people in central Ukraine. And this is not only based on the videos, because if you look into statistics, in addition to the number of people which are mentioned in this BBC report, which you cited – 650,000, who left Ukraine – actually, according to a statement by a former advisor to President Zelenskyy, who actually said in one of his media interviews that, 4.5 million Ukrainian men resisted updating their information in military equipment offices because they did not want to be called for the military to be conscripted to the military service. So, 4.5 million Ukrainians resisted doing this voluntarily and now they face very significant punishment in terms of very significant fines and even the possibility of confiscation of property, even imprisonment if they continue not registering their information to community recruitment offices. 

If you're looking for other kinds of sources of information, there was an interview by one of the officials from Rivne again in western Ukraine, which is a very anti-Russian region, who said that recently just 2% of people who were “summoned” to military court, come voluntarily. So, this means 98% of people in the most anti-Russian region of Ukraine do not want to do this. And, according to some Ukrainian media reports, actually more than 1 million men of military age, actually now are wanted by the police because they also evaded military registration, they avoided being called to the military service. 

In addition to this, I checked my native region, in western Ukraine, the Volyn region, which is very close to Poland and there is a Telegram group of people who watch daily announcements about military conscription offices, their location and what they do, in which places they wait and try to capture the men for the military service. This group now has almost 40,000 members – subscribers. So, this is just information, basically, this means if you look into some possible number of people who are eligible for military service now in this region, this would mean that at least 25% of the people, men who are eligible for military service, actually try to escape and avoid the call for service in this region. Now consider a portion of people [from that region] who are not subscribed to this Telegram channel but watch and read without subscribing, and/or people who may be doing this as part of their families, now it's very likely that that's the absolute majority of people. And men in western Ukraine actually do not want to be captured and brought to the front line. I think this is much more significant evidence of the actual opinion of Ukrainians compared to what we see in the media and public opinion polls, which are not representative because they are very biased and unreliable. 

I have a new book that will be published soon, which is an open-access book in which I also examine this issue, specifically, the evidence of a real public opinion and not what is actually presented in the media, concerning Ukrainian men and Ukrainians wanting to fight Russia until the last Ukrainian. This [sentiment] is a view that is expressed by Western politicians. They often kind of use Ukraine just to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian and this is very unfortunate a situation because it leads to significant casualties in Ukraine which has a devastating effect on Ukraine. 

 

 

G. Greenwald: One of the things that amaze me is there's been a lot of reports, even in the Western media, about the political difficulties Zelenskyy had on expanding the draft mobilization law. The age of the draft had been 27, and he lowered it to 25. And even that was very difficult to pass. It had a lot of political resistance. And then you had an American senator, Lindsey Graham, who's been a very vehement supporter of the war in Ukraine and pretty much a vehement supporter of every war that has ever existed, who went to Ukraine and then came back and he said he was shocked to learn that the draft age was only 27 and then moved to 25. Now it kind of scares me that someone so involved in talking about the war and governing the war in the United States didn't know what you would know even just from reading Basic Report. But I think one of the things he was reacting to is that during Vietnam and other American wars, the draft age in the United States was 18. So, we were sending 18, 19, and 20-year-old kids over to fight in Vietnam and other wars before that, where the draft was used. Why has the draft age in Ukraine not been lowered to say, 18? Why is it at 27 and now 25? Given how difficult it is for Zelenskyy to get enough people on the front line? 

 

Prof. Katchanovski: One issue is a political difficulty, because Zelenskyy did not want damages or kind of endangering his reputation, his approval in Ukraine, because for him, basically public relations is the most important issue. So, he pays very careful attention to his image. A lot of his actions were dictated by his view of what would be beneficial to him in terms of public opinion in Ukraine and the West. So, in this case, such a change to the lower recruitment age would not be very popular in Ukraine, for this reason, Zelenskyy resisted for a long time. This changed after visits by the U.S. politicians – and also you have the Senator whom you mentioned – and they basically told Zelenskyy to lower the draft age, and he did this because Ukraine is, a client state of the U.S., and the U.S. has a lot of say and influence in terms of policy for the Ukrainian government. Oftentimes, Zelenskyy follows the U.S. policy and instructions given, as illustrated by lowering the draft age. 

Another issue is that there's a very small number of people, men of this age group, eligible for military service in Ukraine because, after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, there was a very significant drop in the number of children that people had. Thus, the number of people who could be eligible in this age group is much smaller compared to older generations. And, another issue is that a lot of younger people, within this age group — younger than 25 years old — also have exemptions for military service such as university students. One of these policies dictated by Zelenskyy since the start of the war was to ban all Ukrainians from the age of 18 to 60 years old from leaving Ukraine. Now, people are often eligible for military service by their age, and the men who are 18 years old and 25 years old, are and were not able to leave Ukraine. And this is just the result of the policy of Zelenskyy. There is still a possibility that because of the current situation on the front line, which has a very negative dynamic for Ukraine because of the Russian military advantage, so Zelenskyy might be forced to even lower that conscription age to much younger age groups, maybe as low as 18-year-olds. 

There are a lot of people, specifically in the far-right, neo-Nazis, or Azov regiment, who are now giving interviews on Ukrainian television who call openly for Zelenskyy to lower the draft age to 18 years old. So now, they lobby to press Zelenskyy to lower the draft age. I think there is a possibility that he would be forced to do this because now, there is a very difficult situation in Ukraine and Zelenskyy will try everything to prevent this defeat, but, it will be very difficult to do because Russia has an advantage in land power and military weapons. 

 

G. Greenwald: I Just have a couple of more questions for you. Just because we've gone for about 30 minutes, I just want to be respectful of your time. But, one of the things that seemed very clear from the start of the war was that if you looked at what the U.S. and NATO were saying and how they were defining victory, which was essentially victory means the expulsion of every single Russian troop from every inch of Ukrainian soil, including Crimea, which the Russians have annexed since 2014, in response to the change of government there that a lot of people consider to be a coup. So, you have on the one hand, the U.S. and NATO saying we're going to fight until victory, which means expelling every Russian troop from all parts of Ukraine, including Crimea, and then, obviously, you look at it from the Russian perspective, and that's something they could never allow and would never allow and would do everything possible to prevent. And it seems like there is no way out of it because the Russians aren't going to leave Ukraine, certainly not going to leave Crimea, but it seems impossible as well for the West to win the war by the standard that they've defined it. Here we are, two and a half years into this war, and we're essentially in the same position. I think one of the reasons you see NATO officials talking about escalation, allowing the bombing of U.S. weapons inside Russia, or even deploying NATO forces there is because they're petrified of suffering defeat as they define the victory. There's a peace conference coming up. What do you see until the end of the year, as the prospect of having this war end? 

 

Prof. Katchanovski: Now, the policy of the U.S. government and other Western governments is to continue the war as long as possible because, otherwise, they would be forced to admit defeat in this conflict, which was very easy to prevent in the first place. The peace agreement – which was almost reached in Istanbul in the spring of 2022 – would have avoided such a defeat and minimized such consequences, but it was blocked by the British and U.S. administration. Specifically, the U.S. wanted to weaken Russia in this proxy war. In this case, Western officials claim the goal of Ukraine is to defeat Russia, by taking back not only Donbas but also Crimea, however, it looks like a total fantasy. And this was very clear from the start. Again, I mentioned on social media, in my media interviews, and in my academic publications that the goal of defeating Russia has close to zero chance of happening. Russia, specifically, stated that they would resort to all means, including nuclear weapons, if what they call the “integrity of Russia” would be threatened. They recognize Crimea as part of Russia even though it was annexed in 2014. 

So, this would mean basically that even if Ukraine forces were able to move into Crimea and take back Crimea, this would have led to an escalation of this war and Russia using nuclear weapons. So, this means it was not very likely that such a scenario would happen. At the time, Russia had a military advantage, so again, it’s not a possible scenario that Ukraine would be able to take back Crimea. The media and politicians presented this as a realistic scenario and a lot of people believed in this. Zelensky himself also declared this as a goal of his policy. And now he's in a very dangerous situation because he has no way to retreat from this. After all, he said that a peaceful agreement now is not possible unless Ukraine takes back Crimea and Donbas.

So now there is a much more significant possibility that Zelenskyy might not be able to stay in power until the end of this year because of the growing opposition to his ruling, which, again, became very desperate, according to media reports and his public statements. He recently went against Trump calling him a loser due to his proposal of a peace plan, and for Ukraine to admit defeat with a Russian occupation of [a part of] Ukraine. He criticized Biden for not going to the Peace Summit in Switzerland. He has just now gone against China, saying the Chinese are puppets of Russia and so on. So, now, Zelenskyy is acting erratically in this path. The new peace conference, which would be held in Switzerland, later this month, is the only public relations stand. Zelenskyy just wants to show that he still has support in the West and many other countries. And in reality, [in this new peace conference] there is no possibility of real peace because the only real peaceful agreement was only realistic in March and April 2022, yet it was blocked by the Western countries. 

So, I think a lot of people just lie willingly because they want to use Ukraine, to weaken and defeat Russia. Yet, a lot of people don’t actually know what’s going on and how this is impossible. This is what happens when they rely on the media, politicians, and government officials as a source of information. 

So, this is what I call in my Twitter comments, – with this representation of Ukraine – as a fairy tale or a Hollywood movie with a happy ending. Simply, this is garbage in and garbage out because if you rely on such garbage information, the outcome will be garbage. So, this is what the situation is. Now, I think a lot of people recognize that they've been fed all this misinformation and disinformation by the governments and media. And it’s a very tough situation for Ukraine, for Zelenskyy, and Western governments because they either have to accept a limited defeat and reach a peaceful agreement to end this war or otherwise continue this war without any realistic possibility of defeating Russia which results in more casualties to Ukraine, and more forced mobilization. I also think Russia would be able to take even more territory of Ukraine, as a result of this conflict, if it continued. A clear choice now and since the start of the war. Now the choice is for politicians actually to admit this major mistake to minimize the damage and save a lot of Ukrainian lives. 

 

G. Greenwald: Last question for you. One of the things that really, genuinely alarmed me as a journalist was watching how the Western media narrative about Ukraine that had existed for eight years or nine years before the Russian invasion, switched immediately and completely the minute the media sold this war in Ukraine. And it did this in a lot of ways but the most notable one was that pretty much every media outlet in the West had spent many years warning of the dangers of these very strong neo-Nazi militias inside Ukraine, like the Azov Battalion. And of course, this isn't to say that Ukraine is a Nazi country, or that all Ukrainians are Nazis. And so, of course not the truth and not the point. The concern was that these are the really armed factions inside Ukraine, that they weren't really integrated with the Ukrainian military, and that they were real neo-Nazis. They have, you know, pictures of Stefan Bandera and Nazi insignias everywhere. And after 2022, the Azov Battalion got turned into heroes. You would see all kinds of praise from the New York Times and others and Western officials embracing and heralding them. How do you see today the threat of these neo-Nazi militias or battalions inside Ukraine? And what do you make of these excuses that, “Oh, the Azov Battalion has moderated, that they integrated into the Ukrainian military, that they no longer have this dangerous Nazi ideology? What do you make of all of that? 

 

Prof. Katchanovski: [audio issues] For me, it was just a shock to see in the media the total change in their opinion. This of Azov, which is opening now not to let unit of Ukrainian media for UK initial got and then now became a new brigade in the Ukrainian intelligence and military. So, this was kind of unbelievable. This is Orwellian. So, you see people who are openly admitting their neo-Nazi views, publicly on social media before the Russian invasion, then using neo-Nazi insignia, like, swastikas and SS symbols, and so on, becoming suddenly, heroes. They met with top officials from the U.S. government. They met with members of Congress. They met with top university officials, for instance, at Oxford University and a chancellor of Oxford University. They met with Boris Johnson, who called them heroes. Again, quite unbelievable. 

Even, before the Russian invasion, the U.S. Congress passed an amendment, an actual U.S. defense bill, in which there was provision for not giving any assistance, military assistance, training, or money to the Azov Battalion because of their ideology. But now this was a total change of policy because it was motivated by political reasons. The Azovs did not change; their ideology did not change, but they became presented as a rebel force. So, this is similar to what happened with Syria when there was al-Qaedal in Syria, which suddenly became a kind of jihadist and so on. They became moderate rebels because [they were] supporting democracy and so on. A similar situation happened in Kosovo during a kind of war between NATO and Serbia over Kosovo, in 1998. Suddenly, overnight, Kosovo’s liberation army transformed from a terrorist organization into an organization that was supporting freedom and so on. Mujahideen in Afghanistan during the Soviet war in Afghanistan were also presented basically as freedom fighters and so on. So, this is just pure politics, motivated by the desire to use Ukraine and now open neo-Nazis supported by Western governments. This is a very dangerous situation in Ukraine. They are a real power in Ukraine because often, even if they are numerically small, they do not have representation in Ukraine's parliament or government – there are not Nazis in the government as Russia claims – but far-right, including open neo-Nazis had a very significant role in oversight of the coalition government in 2014 as a result of this Maidan massacre. I just submitted my book today about this event and what happened during that time. So, they had and continue to have a very important role in the environment of installing a coalition government, specifically by Maidanian people, supporters, and police, who blamed the government of Yanukovich, and afterward, they became very powerful because of a reliance on force. Zelenskyy was elected as president of Ukraine, he promised a peaceful resolution of the war in Donbas, which was a civil war, with Russian support and intervention, but then, two things happened. One, far-right, basically neo-Nazi, the Azov told Zelenskyy that they will not retreat the front line. They said to him that if he wanted his peaceful agreement, he basically would be killed in Kiev. They didn’t face any punishment and they were openly kind of supported by Zelenskyy. So, Zelenskyy openly started to support them, placate them, give them support money, say they are moderates, give them medals, titles, and so on. So, this is now a dangerous situation because the far-right in Ukraine is a real opposition, a real power, and they can overthrow Zelenskyy because they rely on violence. They have military support and forces. They have an integrated community with security forces and the police. They have a lot of power. They can overthrow Zelenskyy using violence if he tries to reach this peace deal. So, in this case, I think this is an important danger for Ukraine from the far-right. In this case, Western governments and media are using this far right for their own benefit, but they can suffer blowback. Similar to what happened with Al-Qaeda [in Afghanistan], which was initially supported as part of the Taliban, supported Mujahideen, with the war with the Soviet Union, but then they launched 9/11 in the United States. Just like this, the far-right and neo-Nazis in Ukraine are dangerous because they have their military units so they can use violence not only in Ukraine but also in other countries, including the Western countries. They will be very bitter against the U.S. and many other Western governments for not defeating Russia and meeting their main goal. This is a dangerous situation for Ukraine, but also for the West. Dictated by political reasons to whitewash far-right including openly neo-Nazis, the media, and politicians tell the people otherwise.  

 

G. Greenwald: Well, Professor Katchanovski, I think people can now understand why I consider you to be such an important source of information and knowledge and scholarship about this war. We're going to put your Twitter account in the notes to the show, so hopefully, people can follow you there. I appreciate your taking the time not just to talk to us, but to shed so much light on this area in which you're an actual expert and we'd love to have you back on soon. Thanks very much. 

 

Prof. Katchanovski: Thank you. 

 

G. Greenwald: All right. Goodnight. 


So that concludes our show for this evening.

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Listen to this Article: Reflecting New U.S. Control of TikTok's Censorship, Our Report Criticizing Zelensky Was Deleted

For years, U.S. officials and their media allies accused Russia, China and Iran of tyranny for demanding censorship as a condition for Big Tech access. Now, the U.S. is doing the same to TikTok. Listen below.

Listen to this Article: Reflecting New U.S. Control of TikTok's Censorship, Our Report Criticizing Zelensky Was Deleted
Good news about your Locals membership and our move to Substack

Dear Locals members:

We have good and exciting news about your Locals membership. It concerns your ability to easily convert your Locals membership to SYSTEM UPDATE into a Substack subscription for our new page, with no additional cost or work required.

As most of you know, on February 6, we announced the end of our SYSTEM UPDATE program on Rumble, or at least an end to the format we’ve used for the last 3 years: as a live, nightly news program aired exclusively on Rumble.

With the end of our show, we also announced that we were very excited to be moving back to Substack as the base for our journalism. Such a move, we explained, would enable us not only to continue to produce the kind of in-depth video segments, interviews, and reports you’ve grown accustomed to on SYSTEM UPDATE, but would also far better enable me to devote substantial time to long-form investigations and written articles. Our ability at Subtack to combine all those forms of journalism will enable (indeed, already is enabling) us to ...

So last Tuesday was the first day of the Lunar/Chinese New Year (a really special one - the year of the fire horse! :) and I realized that I forgot to wish everyone happy new year last month, too, so Happy New Year to everyone! 🥳whichever one you like to celebrate🎆🥂🎊

The Chinese New year that just ended was the Year of the Snake - definitely was that for me! 😓 it's all about shedding old patterns of thinking and stuff like that - but I'm feeling better now & ready to get back to my art works and everything 🥰

To celebrate, I wanted to share 2 videos - one is a clip from my favorite movie growing up! The Black Stallion :)

There is actually a scene just before this one where a cobra sneaks up on Alec while he is sleeping, and the horse jumps in and thrashes the snake & saves his life! 😱🐍💥🐎

I was going to make a clip of that one instead, bc it seemed the most fitting to me (I mostly associated the horse with water since some of my favorite scenes are of them playing and ...

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February 25, 2026

There was a question in a survey I took today about Glenn.

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NEW: Message from Glenn to Locals Members About Substack, System Update, and Subscriptions

Hello Locals members:

I wanted to make sure you are updated on what I regard as the exciting changes we announced on Friday night’s program, as well as the status of your current membership.

As most of you likely know, we announced on our Friday night show that that SYSTEM UPDATE episode would be the last one under the show’s current format (if you would like to watch it, you can do so here). As I explained when announcing these changes, producing and hosting a nightly video-based show has been exhilarating and fulfilling, but it also at times has been a bit draining and, most importantly, an impediment to doing other types of work that have always formed the core of my journalism: namely, longer-form written articles and deep investigations.

We have produced three full years of SYSTEM UPDATE episodes on Rumble (our premiere show was December 10, 2022). And while we will continue to produce video content similar to the kinds of segments that composed the show, they won’t be airing live every night at 7:00 p.m. Eastern, but instead will be posted periodically throughout the week (as we have been doing over the last couple of months both on Rumble and on our YouTube channel here).

To enlarge the scope of my work, I am returning to Substack as the central hub for my journalism, which is where I was prior to launching SYSTEM UPDATE on Rumble. In addition to long-form articles, Substack enables a wide array of community-based features, including shorter-form written items that can be posted throughout the day to stimulate conversation among members, a page for guest writers, and new podcast and video features. You can find our redesigned Substack here; it is launching with new content on Monday.

For our current Locals subscribers, you can continue to stay at Locals or move to Substack, whichever you prefer. For any video content and long-form articles that we publish for paying Substack members, we will cross-post them here on Locals (for members only), meaning that your Locals subscription will continue to give you full access to our journalism. 

When I was last at Substack, we published some articles without a paywall in order to ensure the widest possible reach. My expectation is that we will do something similar, though there will be a substantial amount of exclusive content solely for our subscribers. 

We are working on other options to convert your Locals membership into a Substack membership, depending on your preference. But either way, your Locals membership will continue to provide full access to the articles and videos we will publish on both platforms.

Although I will miss producing SYSTEM UPDATE on a (more or less) nightly basis, I really believe that these changes will enable the expansion of my journalism, both in terms of quality and reach. We are very grateful to our Locals members who have played such a vital role over the last three years in supporting our work, and we hope to continue to provide you with true independent journalism into the future.

— Glenn Greenwald   

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The Epstein Files: The Blackmail of Billionaire Leon Black and Epstein's Role in It
Black's downfall — despite paying tens of millions in extortion demands — illustrates how potent and valuable intimate secrets are in Epstein's world of oligarchs and billionaires.

One of the towering questions hovering over the Epstein saga was whether the illicit sexual activities of the world’s most powerful people were used as blackmail by Epstein or by intelligence agencies with whom (or for whom) he worked. The Trump administration now insists that no such blackmail occurred.

 

Top law enforcement officials in the Trump administration — such as Attorney General Pam Bondi, FBI Director Kash Patel, and former FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino — spent years vehemently denouncing the Biden administration for hiding Epstein’s “client list,” as well as concealing details about Epstein’s global blackmail operations. Yet last June, these exact same officials suddenly announced, in the words of their joint DOJ-FBI statement, that their “exhaustive review” found no “client list” nor any “credible evidence … that Epstein blackmailed prominent individuals as part of his actions.” They also assured the public that they were certain, beyond any doubt, that Epstein killed himself.

 

There are still many files that remain heavily and inexplicably redacted. But, from the files that have been made public, we know one thing for certain. One of Epstein’s two key benefactors — the hedge fund billionaire Leon Black, who paid Epstein at least $158 million from 2012 through 2017 — was aggressively blackmailed over his sexual conduct. (Epstein’s second most-important benefactor was the billionaire Les Wexner, a major pro-Israel donor who cut off ties in 2008 after Epstein repaid Wexner $100 million for money Wexner alleged Epstein had stolen from him.)

 

Despite that $100 million repayment in 2008 to Wexner, Epstein had accumulated so much wealth through his involvement with Wexner that it barely made a dent. He was able to successfully “pilfer” such a mind-boggling amount of money because he had been given virtually unconstrained access to, and power over, every aspect of Wexner’s life. Wexner even gave Epstein power of attorney and had him oversee his children’s trusts. And Epstein, several years later, created a similar role with Leon Black, one of the richest hedge fund billionaires of his generation.

 

Epstein’s 2008 conviction and imprisonment due to his guilty plea on a charge of “soliciting a minor for prostitution” began mildly hindering his access to the world’s billionaires. It was at this time that he lost Wexner as his font of wealth due to Wexner’s belief that Epstein stole from him.

 

But Epstein’s world was salvaged, and ultimately thrived more than ever, as a result of the seemingly full-scale dependence that Leon Black developed on Epstein. As he did with Wexner, Epstein insinuated himself into every aspect of the billionaire’s life — financial, political, and personal — and, in doing so, obtained innate, immense power over Black.

 


 

The recently released Epstein files depict the blackmail and extortion schemes to which Black was subjected. One of the most vicious and protracted arose out of a six-year affair he carried on with a young Russian model, who then threatened in 2015 to expose everything to Black’s wife and family, and “ruin his life,” unless he paid her $100 million. But Epstein himself also implicitly, if not overtly, threatened Black in order to extract millions more in payments after Black, in 2016, sought to terminate their relationship.

 

While the sordid matter of Black’s affair has been previously reported — essentially because the woman, Guzel Ganieva, went public and sued Black, accusing him of “rape and assault,” even after he paid her more than $9 million out of a $21 million deal he made with her to stay silent — the newly released emails provide very vivid and invasive details about how desperately Black worked to avoid public disclosure of his sex life. The broad outlines of these events were laid out in a Bloomberg report on Sunday, but the text of emails provide a crucial look into how these blackmail schemes in Epstein World operated.

 

Epstein was central to all of this. That is why the emails describing all of this in detail are now publicly available: because they were all sent by Black or his lawyers to Epstein, and are thus now part of the Epstein Files.

 

Once Ganieva began blackmailing and extorting Black with her demands for $100 million — which she repeatedly said was her final, non-negotiable offer — Black turned to Epstein to tell him how to navigate this. (Black’s other key advisor was Brad Karp, who was forced to resign last week as head of the powerful Paul, Weiss law firm due to his extensive involvement with Epstein).

 

From the start of Ganieva’s increasingly unhinged threats against Black, Epstein became a vital advisor. In 2015, Epstein drafted a script for what he thought Black should tell his mistress, and emailed that script to himself.

 

Epstein included an explicit threat that Black would have Russian intelligence — the Federal Security Service (FSB) — murder Ganieva, because, Epstein argued, failure to resolve this matter with an American businessman important to the Russian economy would make her an “enemy of the state” in the eyes of the Russian government. Part of Epstein’s suggested script for Black is as follows (spelling and grammatical errors maintained from the original correspondents):

 

you should also know that I felt it necessary to contact some friends in FSB, and I though did not give them your name. They explained to me in no uncertain terms that especially now , when Russia is trying to bring in outside investors , as you know the economy sucks, and desperately investment that a person that would attempt to blackmail a us businessman would immeditaly become in the 21 century, what they terms . vrag naroda meant in the 20th they translated it for me as the enemy of the people, and would e dealt with extremely harshly , as it threatened the economies of teh country. So i expect never ever to hear a threat from you again.

 

In a separate email to Karp, Black’s lawyer, Epstein instructs him to order surveillance on the woman’s whereabouts by using the services of Nardello & Co., a private spy and intelligence agency used by the world’s richest people.

 

Black’s utter desperation for Ganieva not to reveal their affair is viscerally apparent from the transcripts of multiple lunches he had with her throughout 2015, which he secretly tape-recorded. His law firm, Paul, Weiss, had those recordings transcribed, and those were sent to Epstein.

 

To describe these negotiations as torturous would be an understatement. But it is worth taking a glimpse to see how easily and casually blackmail and extortion were used in this world.

 

Leon Black is a man worth $13 billion, yet his life appears utterly consumed by having to deal constantly with all sorts of people (including Epstein) demanding huge sums of money from him, accompanied by threats of various kinds. Epstein was central to helping him navigate through all of this blackmail and extortion, and thus, he was obviously fully privy to all of Black’s darkest secrets.

 


 

At their first taped meeting on August 14, 2015, Black repeatedly offered his mistress a payment package of $1 million per year for the next 12 years, plus an up-front investment fund of £2 million for her to obtain a visa to live with her minor son in the UK. But Ganieva repeatedly rejected those offers, instead demanding a lump sum of no less than $100 million, threatening him over and over that she would destroy his life if he did not pay all of it.

 

Black was both astounded and irritated that she thought a payment package of $15 million was somehow abusive and insulting. He emphasized that he was willing to negotiate it upward, but she was adamant that it had to be $100 million or nothing, an amount Black insisted he could not and would not pay.

 

When pressed to explain where she derived that number, Ganieva argued that she considered the two to be married (even though Black was long married to another woman), thereby entitling her to half of what he earned during those years. Whenever Black pointed out that they only had sex once a month or so for five or six years in an apartment he rented for her, and that they never even lived together, she became offended and enraged and repeatedly hardened her stance.

 

Over and over, they went in circles for hours across multiple meetings. Many times, Black tried flattery: telling her how much he cared for her and assuring her that he considered her brilliant and beautiful. Everything he tried seemed to backfire and to solidify her $100 million blackmail price tag. (In the transcripts, “JD” refers to “John Doe,” the name the law firm used for Black; the redacted initials are for Ganieva):

 



 

On other occasions during their meetings, Ganieva insisted that she was entitled to $100 million because Black had “ruined” her life. He invariably pointed out how much money he had given her over the years, to say nothing of the $15 million he was now offering her, and expressed bafflement at how she could see it that way.

 

In response, Ganieva would insist that a “cabal” of Black’s billionaire friends — led by Michael Bloomberg, Mort Zuckerman, and Len Blavatnik — had conspired with Black to ruin her reputation. Other times, she blamed Black for speaking disparagingly of her to destroy her life. Other times, she claimed that people in multiple cities — New York, London, Moscow — were monitoring and following her and trying to kill her. This is but a fraction of the exchanges they had, as he alternated between threatening her with prison and flattering her with praise, while she kept saying she did not care about the consequences and would ruin his life unless she was paid the full amount:

 



 

By their last taped meeting in October, Ganieva appeared more willing to negotiate the amount of the payment. The duo agreed to a payment package in return for her silence; it included Black’s payments to her of $100,000 per month for the next 12 years (or $1.2 million per year for 12 years), as well as other benefits that exceeded a value of $5 million. They signed a contract formalizing what they called a “non-disclosure agreement,” and he made the payments to her for several years on time. The ultimate total value to be paid was $21 million.

 

Unfortunately for Black, these hours of misery, and the many millions paid to her, were all for naught. In March, 2021, Ganieva — despite Black’s paying the required amounts — took to Twitter to publicly accuse Black of “raping and assaulting” her, and further claimed that he “trafficked” her to Epstein in Miami without her consent, to force her to have sex with Epstein.

 

As part of these public accusations, Ganieva spilled all the beans on the years-long affair the two had: exactly what Black had paid her millions of dollars to keep quiet. When Black denied her accusations, she sued him for both defamation and assault. Her case was ultimately dismissed, and she sacrificed all the remaining millions she was to receive in an attempt to destroy his life.

 

Meanwhile, in 2021, Black was forced out of the hedge fund that made him a billionaire and which he had co-founded, Apollo Global Management, as a result of extensive public disclosures about his close ties to Epstein, who, two years earlier, had been arrested, became a notorious household name, and then died in prison. As a result of all that, and the disclosures from his mistress, Black — just like his ex-mistress — came to believe he was the victim of a “cabal.” He sued his co-founder at Apollo, the billionaire Josh Harris, as well as Ganieva and a leading P.R. firm on RICO charges, alleging that they all conspired to destroy his reputation and drive him out of Apollo. Black’s RICO case was dismissed.

 

Black’s fear that these disclosures would permanently destroy his reputation and standing in society proved to be prescient. An independent law firm was retained by Apollo to investigate his relationship with Epstein. Despite the report’s conclusion that Black had done nothing illegal, he has been forced off multiple boards that he spent tens of millions of dollars to obtain, including the highly prestigious post of Chair of the Museum of Modern Art, which he received after compiling one of the world’s largest and most expensive collections, only to lose that position due to Epstein associations.

 

So destroyed is Leon Black’s reputation from these disclosures that a business relationship between Apollo and the company Lifetouch — an 80-year-old company that captures photos of young school children — resulted in many school districts this week cancelling photo shoots involving this company, even though the company never appeared once in the Epstein files. But any remote association with Black — once a pillar of global high society — is now deemed so toxic that it can contaminate anything, no matter how removed from Epstein.

 


 

None of this definitively proves anything like a global blackmail ring overseen by Epstein and/or intelligence agencies. But it does leave little doubt that Epstein was not only very aware of the valuable leverage such sexual secrets gave him, but also that he used it when he needed to, including with Leon Black. Epstein witnessed up close how many millions Black was willing to pay to prevent public disclosure in a desperate attempt to preserve his reputation and marriage.

 

In October, The New York Times published a long examination of what was known at the time about the years-long relationship between Black and Epstein. In 2016, Black seemingly wanted to stop paying Epstein the tens of millions each year he had been paying him. But Epstein was having none of it.

 

Far from speaking to Black as if Epstein were an employee or paid advisor, he spoke to the billionaire in threatening, menacing, highly demanding, and insulting terms:

 

Jeffrey Epstein was furious. For years, he had relied on the billionaire Leon Black as his primary source of income, advising him on everything from taxes to his world-class art collection. But by 2016, Mr. Black seemed to be reluctant to keep paying him tens of millions of dollars a year.

So Mr. Epstein threw a tantrum.

One of Mr. Black’s other financial advisers had created “a really dangerous mess,” Mr. Epstein wrote in an email to Mr. Black. Another was “a waste of money and space.” He even attacked Mr. Black’s children as “retarded” for supposedly making a mess of his estate.

The typo-strewn tirade was one of dozens of previously unreported emails reviewed by The New York Times in which Mr. Epstein hectored Mr. Black, at times demanding tens of millions of dollars beyond the $150 million he had already been paid.

The pressure campaign appeared to work. Mr. Black, who for decades was one of the richest and highest-profile figures on Wall Street, continued to fork over tens of millions of dollars in fees and loans, albeit less than Mr. Epstein had been seeking.

 

The mind-bogglingly massive size of Black’s payments to Epstein over the years for “tax advice” made no rational sense. Billionaires like Black are not exactly known for easily or willingly parting with money that they do not have to pay. They cling to money, which is how many become billionaires in the first place.

 

As the Times article put it, Black’s explanation for these payments to Epstein “puzzled many on Wall Street, who have asked why one of the country’s richest men would pay Mr. Epstein, a college dropout, so much more than what prestigious law firms would charge for similar services.”

 

Beyond Black’s payments to Epstein himself, he also “wired hundreds of thousands of dollars to at least three women who were associated with Mr. Epstein.” And all of this led to Epstein speaking to Black not the way one would speak to one’s most valuable client or to one’s boss, but rather spoke to him in terms of non-negotiable ultimatums, notably similar to the tone used by Black’s mistress-turned-blackmailer:

 


Email from Jeffrey Epstein to Leon Black, dated November 2, 2015.

 

When Black did not relent, Epstein’s demands only grew more aggressive. In one email, he told Black: “I think you should pay the 25 [million] that you did not for this year. For next year it's the same 40 [million] as always, paid 20 [million] in jan and 20 [million] in july, and then we are done.” At one point, Epstein responded to Black’s complaints about a cash crunch (a grievance Black also tried using with his mistress) with offers to take payment from Black in the form of real estate, art, or financing for Epstein’s plane:

 


Email from Jeffrey Epstein to Leon Black, dated March 16, 2016.

 

With whatever motives, Black succumbed to Epstein’s pressure and kept paying him massive sums, including $20 million at the start of 2017, and then another $8 million just a few months later, in April.

 

Epstein had access to virtually every part of Black’s life, as he had with Wexner before that. He was in possession of all sorts of private information about their intimate lives, which would and could have destroyed them if he disclosed it, as evidenced by the reputational destruction each has suffered just from the limited disclosures about their relationship with Epstein, to say nothing of whatever else Epstein knew.

 

Leon Black was most definitely the target of extreme and aggressive blackmail and extortion over his sex life in at least one instance we know of, and Epstein was at the center of that, directing him. While Wall Street may have been baffled that Wexner and Black paid such sums to Epstein over the years, including after Black wanted to cut him off, it is quite easy to understand why they did so. That is particularly so as Epstein became angrier and more threatening, and as he began reminding Black of all the threats from which Epstein had long protected him. Epstein watched those exact tactics work for Black’s mistress.

 

The DOJ continues to insist it has no evidence of Epstein using his access to the most embarrassing parts of the private and sexual lives of the world’s richest and most powerful people for blackmail purposes. But we know for certain that blackmail was used in this world, and that Epstein was not only well aware of highly valuable secrets but was also paid enormous, seemingly irrational sums by billionaires whose lives he knew intimately.

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Amazon's Ring and Google's Nest Unwittingly Reveal the Severity of the U.S. Surveillance State
Just a decade after a global backlash was triggered by Snowden reporting on mass domestic surveillance, the state-corporate dragnet is stronger and more invasive than ever.

That the U.S. Surveillance State is rapidly growing to the point of ubiquity has been demonstrated over the past week by seemingly benign events. While the picture that emerges is grim, to put it mildly, at least Americans are again confronted with crystal clarity over how severe this has become.

 

The latest round of valid panic over privacy began during the Super Bowl held on Sunday. During the game, Amazon ran a commercial for its Ring camera security system. The ad manipulatively exploited people’s love of dogs to induce them to ignore the consequences of what Amazon was touting. It seems that trick did not work.

 

The ad highlighted what the company calls its “Search Party” feature, whereby one can upload a picture, for example, of a lost dog. Doing so will activate multiple other Amazon Ring cameras in the neighborhood, which will, in turn, use AI programs to scan all dogs, it seems, and identify the one that is lost. The 30-second commercial was full of heart-tugging scenes of young children and elderly people being reunited with their lost dogs.

 

But the graphic Amazon used seems to have unwittingly depicted how invasive this technology can be. That this capability now exists in a product that has long been pitched as nothing more than a simple tool for homeowners to monitor their own homes created, it seems, an unavoidable contract between public understanding of Ring and what Amazon was now boasting it could do.

 


Amazon’s Super Bowl ad for Ring and its “Search Party” feature.

 

Many people were not just surprised but quite shocked and alarmed to learn that what they thought was merely their own personal security system now has the ability to link with countless other Ring cameras to form a neighborhood-wide (or city-wide, or state-wide) surveillance dragnet. That Amazon emphasized that this feature is available (for now) only to those who “opt-in” did not assuage concerns.

 

Numerous media outlets sounded the alarm. The online privacy group Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF) condemned Ring’s program as previewing “a world where biometric identification could be unleashed from consumer devices to identify, track, and locate anything — human, pet, and otherwise.”

 

Many private citizens who previously used Ring also reacted negatively. “Viral videos online show people removing or destroying their cameras over privacy concerns,” reported USA Today. The backlash became so severe that, just days later, Amazon — seeking to assuage public anger — announced the termination of a partnership between Ring and Flock Safety, a police surveillance tech company (while Flock is unrelated to Search Party, public backlash made it impossible, at least for now, for Amazon to send Ring’s user data to a police surveillance firm).

 

The Amazon ad seems to have triggered a long-overdue spotlight on how the combination of ubiquitous cameras, AI, and rapidly advancing facial recognition software will render the term “privacy” little more than a quaint concept from the past. As EFF put it, Ring’s program “could already run afoul of biometric privacy laws in some states, which require explicit, informed consent from individuals before a company can just run face recognition on someone.”

 

Those concerns escalated just a few days later in the context of the Tucson disappearance of Nancy Guthrie, mother of long-time TODAY Show host Savannah Guthrie. At the home where she lives, Nancy Guthrie used Google’s Nest camera for security, a product similar to Amazon’s Ring.

 

Guthrie, however, did not pay Google for a subscription for those cameras, instead solely using the cameras for real-time monitoring. As CBS News explained, “with a free Google Nest plan, the video should have been deleted within 3 to 6 hours — long after Guthrie was reported missing.” Even professional privacy advocates have understood that customers who use Nest without a subscription will not have their cameras connected to Google’s data servers, meaning that no recordings will be stored or available for any period beyond a few hours.

 

For that reason, Pima County Sheriff Chris Nanos announced early on “that there was no video available in part because Guthrie didn’t have an active subscription to the company.” Many people, for obvious reasons, prefer to avoid permanently storing comprehensive daily video reports with Google of when they leave and return to their own home, or who visits them at their home, when, and for how long.

 

Despite all this, FBI investigators on the case were somehow magically able to “recover” this video from Guthrie’s camera many days later. FBI Director Kash Patel was essentially forced to admit this when he released still images of what appears to be the masked perpetrator who broke into Guthrie’s home. (The Google user agreement, which few users read, does protect the company by stating that images may be stored even in the absence of a subscription.)

 

While the “discovery” of footage from this home camera by Google engineers is obviously of great value to the Guthrie family and law enforcement agents searching for Guthrie, it raises obvious yet serious questions about why Google, contrary to common understanding, was storing the video footage of unsubscribed users. A former NSA data researcher and CEO of a cybersecurity firm, Patrick Johnson, told CBS: “There's kind of this old saying that data is never deleted, it's just renamed.” 

 


Image obtained through Nancy Guthrie’s unsubscribed Google Nest camera and released by the FBI.

 

It is rather remarkable that Americans are being led, more or less willingly, into a state-corporate, Panopticon-like domestic surveillance state with relatively little resistance, though the widespread reaction to Amazon’s Ring ad is encouraging. Much of that muted reaction may be due to a lack of realization about the severity of the evolving privacy threat. Beyond that, privacy and other core rights can seem abstract and less of a priority than more material concerns, at least until they are gone.

 

It is always the case that there are benefits available from relinquishing core civil liberties: allowing infringements on free speech may reduce false claims and hateful ideas; allowing searches and seizures without warrants will likely help the police catch more criminals, and do so more quickly; giving up privacy may, in fact, enhance security.

 

But the core premise of the West generally, and the U.S. in particular, is that those trade-offs are never worthwhile. Americans still all learn and are taught to admire the iconic (if not apocryphal) 1775 words of Patrick Henry, which came to define the core ethos of the Revolutionary War and American Founding: “Give me liberty or give me death.” It is hard to express in more definitive terms on which side of that liberty-versus-security trade-off the U.S. was intended to fall.

 

These recent events emerge in a broader context of this new Silicon Valley-driven destruction of individual privacy. Palantir’s federal contracts for domestic surveillance and domestic data management continue to expand rapidly, with more and more intrusive data about Americans consolidated under the control of this one sinister corporation.

 

Facial recognition technology — now fully in use for an array of purposes from Customs and Border Protection at airports to ICE’s patrolling of American streets — means that fully tracking one’s movements in public spaces is easier than ever, and is becoming easier by the day. It was only three years ago that we interviewed New York Timesreporter Kashmir Hill about her new book, “Your Face Belongs to Us.” The warnings she issued about the dangers of this proliferating technology have not only come true with startling speed but also appear already beyond what even she envisioned.

 

On top of all this are advances in AI. Its effects on privacy cannot yet be quantified, but they will not be good. I have tried most AI programs simply to remain abreast of how they function.

 

After just a few weeks, I had to stop my use of Google’s Gemini because it was compiling not just segregated data about me, but also a wide array of information to form what could reasonably be described as a dossier on my life, including information I had not wittingly provided it. It would answer questions I asked it with creepy, unrelated references to the far-too-complete picture it had managed to create of many aspects of my life (at one point, it commented, somewhat judgmentally or out of feigned “concern,” about the late hours I was keeping while working, a topic I never raised).

 

Many of these unnerving developments have happened without much public notice because we are often distracted by what appear to be more immediate and proximate events in the news cycle. The lack of sufficient attention to these privacy dangers over the last couple of years, including at times from me, should not obscure how consequential they are.

 

All of this is particularly remarkable, and particularly disconcerting, since we are barely more than a decade removed from the disclosures about mass domestic surveillance enabled by the courageous whistleblower Edward Snowden. Although most of our reporting focused on state surveillance, one of the first stories featured the joint state-corporate spying framework built in conjunction with the U.S. security state and Silicon Valley giants.

 

The Snowden stories sparked years of anger, attempts at reform, changes in diplomatic relations, and even genuine (albeit forced) improvements in Big Tech’s user privacy. But the calculation of the U.S. security state and Big Tech was that at some point, attention to privacy concerns would disperse and then virtually evaporate, enabling the state-corporate surveillance state to march on without much notice or resistance. At least as of now, the calculation seems to have been vindicated.

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